Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Playoff chances


The Sox are 7.5 games up, but the Yanks are surging. So that begs the question, should we be worried? The answer to that is, not really. You should be no more worried right now than at any point this season. If the Red Sox were to win 50% of the games left (31-31) they would be at 92-70. Not a bad record. For the Yankees to pass that they would need to go 40-23, to put them at 93-69. That is no easy task. Lets say the Sox go on there pace. At the end of the season they would be 99-63. For the Yanks to reach that they would need to go 47-16. As good as the Yankees may be, that's impossible. I think playing .600 ball is completely possible for the Sox. They have a cream puff schedule in September and are currently beating a very good Indian's team. PECOTA puts the Red Sox chances of making the playoffs at 98%, and I have to agree.

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