Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Remaining Shedule

The Red Sox are currently 44-25 and 8 games up on the Yankees entering tonight's game at Atlanta. Lets break down the rest of the season.


Teams - Games Remaining - (Home-Away) - Winning %

Tampa Bay - 18 (9-9) .456
Baltimore - 13 (6-7) .420
Toronto - 10 (7-3) .485
Chicago AL - 8 (4-4) .439
LA Angels - 7 (4-3) .634
Seattle - 6 (0-6) .530
NY Yankees - 6 (3-3) .522
Cleveland - 4 (0-4) .594
Minnesota - 4 (4-0) .500
Texas - 4 (4-0) .377
San Diego - 3 (0-3) .588
Detroit - 3 (0-3) .580
Kansas City - 3 (3-0) .408
Oakland - 2 (2-0) .551
Atlanta - 2 (0-2) .535

As you can see, we are very heavy in the bottom feeders of the AL East, playing 41 games out of 93 against Toronto, Baltimore, and Tampa. I think this is a huge advantage for the Red Sox. As the season goes on, Baltimore and Toronto will start to shut it down. Toronto will start to rest their stars, Halladay and Burnett, and Baltimore will probably deal away some of their talent, Patterson and Tejada. It is very likely that Tampa will bring up players like Longoria, Brignac, and Niemann. While those players are tremendous talents, they are likely to struggle in their first stint with the big club.

46 of the Red Sox finally 93 games are at home. I don't believe it's a huge issue that they have 1 more away game since their road record (21-13) is very similar to its home record (23-12). I can't lie though, their are a lot of tough road series, San Diego/Cleveland/Detroit, but if they can get through those it should be clear sailing.

Of coarse, I have to mention the Yankees. The Sox have only 6 games left and its a home and home series. It is going to be hard for the Yankees to catch up ground by their play against the Sox alone. Assuming that its going to take 95 wins to take the series, the Sox need to go 51-42 while the Yanks need to go 60-35.

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