Tuesday, June 26, 2007

BABIP is no excuse


The few remaining Lugo fans are scrapping to find excuses for why he is not succeeding. Most will point out his .210 BABIP. Normally, his BABIP is in the range of .320-.330. The supporters of this will say that he is just getting unlucky and his BA will naturally increase. But that isn't necessarily right. When looking at BABIP you need to look at his LD% and GB%. That will tell you if he is hitting the ball well or hitting weak grounders. When you look at those numbers you see his LD% is down (14%) and GB% is up (53.8). Since Lugo is a gap hitters and needs to be slapping the ball to all parts of the park and he isn't doing that, he isn't naturally going to improve. Something bigger than luck is preventing him from succeeding. Personally, I think he is a head case and is pressing too much. Hopefully he will turn it around, because there are no other options.

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