2007 Standings

Using Pythag exp. and Win Shares, as well as a little of my opinion, i have come up with the record for teams at the end of the season. As a starting point i used Pythag records because i feel like those are more reliable than a teams actual record, it shows how well they played not how lucky they were. From there I took the Win Shares of the top 40 free agents of the off season and added those totals or subtracted those from the teams involved. After that i took all the trades that will have an immediate impact, i believe there was only 14 trades that had positive Win Shares one way or the other. With those numbers i did the same as i did with the free agents. Once that was done i had what i believe is a pretty accurate list, but i felt like it was doing an injustice to teams that are building with young developing players. Since i had no real clue how to quantify a players progression in relationship to a teams success, i guessed. No team changed more that +/- 5 games and most teams stayed neutral. So here it is, mainly objective but a little subjective.

AL EAST
BOS 95-67
NYY 87-75
TOR 78-84
TB 77-85
BAL 76-86

AL CENTRAL
DET 90 -72
CLE 89-73
MIN 85-77
CHA 85-77
KC 76-86

AL WEST
LAA 92-70
TEX 77-85
SEA 76-86
OAK 72-90

NL EAST
PHI 91-71
NYM 90-72
ATL 82-80
FLO 77-85
WAS 61-101

NL CENTRAL
MIL 85-77
HOU 83-79
CHN 82-80
STL 76-86
CIN 75-87
PIT 75-87

NL WEST
LAD 87-75
SF 84-78
COL 82-80
ARI 81-81
SD 72-90

I'll use the teams that my formula has making the playoffs and do projections from there.

NL wildcard
PHI over MIL (4 games) LAD over NYM (3 games)

AL wildcard
BOS over CLE (5 games) LAA over DET (3 games)

NL Champ
PHI over LAD (6 games)

AL Champ
LAA over BOS (6 games)

World Series
LAA over PHI (5 games)